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NBC Housing Market Monitor: Uncertainty weighs on home sales in January
Summary
Home sales decreased by 3.3% between December and January, the second monthly contraction in a row, which can be explained by a slowdown in transactions in the last week of January.
On the supply side, new listings surged by 11.0% compared to December, the first increase in four months and the biggest jump since February 2022 (rebound following Omicron wave).
Active listings jumped by 4.2% from December to January, the second monthly advance in a row. Combined with the decrease in sales, the number of months of inventory (active listings-to-sales) increased for the second consecutive month, moving from 3.9 in December to 4.2 in January.
Market conditions loosened during the month but remained tighter than their historical average in most provinces, while they remained balanced in B.C. and were in favourable to buyers territory in Ontario.
Housing starts increased by 3% (+7.2K) in January to 239.7K (seasonally adjusted and annualized), a print below the median economist forecast calling for 252.5K units. The monthly gain was driven by an increase in both urban (+5.6K to 220.6K) and rural (+1.7K to 19.1K) starts. Starts were up in Montreal (+17.8K to 31.4K), Toronto (+17.2K to 29.1K), and Calgary (+0.4K to 21.4K), while they were down in Vancouver (-4.1K to 25.0K) from December to January. On a provincial basis, starts were up the most in Quebec (+16.6K to 58.4K), Nova Scotia (+2.8K to 8.2K), Alberta (+1.4K to 44.8K), and P.E.I. (+1.2K to 2.5K), while they saw the biggest decrease in Ontario (-6.4K to 57.0K), B.C. (-6.5K to 39.0K) and New Brunswick (-3.1K to 1.7K).
The TeranetNational Bank Composite National House Price Index remained stable from December to January after seasonal adjustment. Seven of the 11 markets in the composite index rose during the month: Quebec City (+3.2%), Halifax (+0.9%), Calgary (+0.8%), Ottawa-Gatineau (+0.6%), Victoria (+0.6%), Edmonton (+0.6%) and Montreal (+0.4%). Conversely, prices fell in Winnipeg (-1.5%), Hamilton (-1.4%) and Vancouver (-0.6%), while they remained stable in Toronto.
https://www.nbc.ca/content/dam/bnc/taux-analyses/analyse-eco/logement/economic-news-resale-market.pdf
Scotiabank: Canadian Home Sales (January 2025): Housing News Flash
Canada Housing Market: Trade uncertainty weighed on housing markets in January ... and this is likely to continue in the foreseeable future
National housing market conditions eased significantly in January 2025 with sales declining and new listings posting a near-record monthly rise. The national MLS House Price Index stayed essentially unchanged in January.
Both declining sales and sharply rising new listings contributed to cool housing resales conditions nationally from December 2024 to January 2025. Over this period sales declined -3.3%, following a -5% decline from November to December. In January 2025, sales were only 2.9% above their level in the same month of 2024. But from the CREA report, the sales decline in January came mostly from a weak performance in its last week, the period where uncertainty on the new U.S. administration tariff policy started flying high.
New listings climbed 11% from December to January and their level was at an historical high, excluding the very volatile initial 12-month period of the pandemic. In terms of their monthly progression, new listings posted the second largest historical increase in January (again outside the above-mentioned pandemic period), after the one observed in February 2022 (+21.4%) when house prices were at their historical summit and just before the Bank of Canada and other central banks started hiking their policy rate. This monetary policy tightening led to the subsequent cooling in Canadas economic and housing market conditions and house prices declining.
With sales declining and new listings rising, the national sales-to-new listings ratio cooled further and significantly from December to January, declining from 56.5% to 49.3% over this period. This indicator of market pressures is now below the mid-point of our estimated balanced conditions zone (of between 44.7% to 66.1%). Another indicator of national market pressures, months of inventory, also eased from December to January, increasing from 3.9 to 4.2 months over this period nationally, but was still below its long-term pre-pandemic average of 5.2 months. All provinces witnessed an increase in their months of inventory from December to January, except for Saskatchewan where it was unchanged and for Newfoundland and Labrador where it declined (from 5.5 to 4.3 months).
https://www.scotiabank.com/ca/en/about/economics/economics-publications/post.other-publications.housing.housing-news-flash.february-18--2025.html
BMO Survey: Rising Cost of Living is Affecting Dating
On average, the cost of finding love can add up to $3,621
One third of couples say spending is a source of conflict in the relationship
A special Valentines Day report from the BMO Real Financial Progress Index reveals 56% of Canadians say the rising cost of living is affecting dating, with many going on fewer dates and/or planning less expensive dating activities.
The survey explores how concerns about the economy and personal finances have affected approaches to dating and relationships and found 42% of single Canadians admitted to adjusting their plans for a date for financial reasons. Nearly a third (30%) of single Canadians have cancelled a date to save money.
Canadians on average spend $173 for each date, including the cost for transportation, preparation such as grooming and attire, and expenses such as food, beverages and tickets. On average, partnered Canadians have gone on 10 to 21 dates before committing to a relationship, suggesting Canadians could spend up to $3,621 on dates before making a relationship official.
https://newsroom.bmo.com/2025-02-06-BMO-Survey-Rising-Cost-of-Living-is-Affecting-Dating