Dan Penner
"Bank of Canada's Roller Coaster Ride with Interest Rates and Inflation 🇨🇦💰"
11/9/2023
Hey there, financial-savvy folks! ๐ Ready for a scoop on the latest roller coaster ride at the Bank of Canada? Buckle up because we've got some insights from a November 8, 2023 article in Canadian Mortgage Trends magazine.
Is the Interest Rate Going Up or Down? ๐ข
So, last month, the Bank of Canada decided to keep the interest rates steady. But guess what? Not everyone was on the same page! ๐ค Some were like, "Yep, rates should go up to tame inflation," while others were more chill, thinking that 5% might do the trick to bring inflation back to 2%, if we hold it there long enough. In the end, they decided to "be patient" and maintain the status quo. ๐โ๏ธ๐โ๏ธ
Inflation: The Ultimate Balancing Act ๐
Inflation, the star of the show, has been putting on quite a performance. ๐ Headline inflation slowed down to 3.8% in September, but core inflation (which ignores the wacky stuff like food and energy) has been hanging around 3.5% to 4% for a whole year! ๐โฝ
Why Is Inflation Sticking Around? ๐ ๐ธ
The Bank of Canada's Council had a little chat about what's been stopping them from tackling inflation. First up, global oil prices have been on the rise, pushing inflation up from its summer low. ๐ข๏ธ๐
And then there's "shelter inflation," which is riding high at a whopping 6%. This is thanks to the bank's own monetary policy tightening, causing mortgage interest costs to soar. ๐ก๐ฐ Usually, higher interest rates should cool down house prices, but there's a hiccup: Canada's housing shortage. ๐๏ธ The rapidly growing population is only adding to the housing supply-demand imbalance.
What's the Future Look Like? ๐ฎ
In their latest Monetary Policy Report, the Bank of Canada upgraded their inflation forecast. They're thinking we'll see an average of 3.9% in 2023 (up from 3.7%), before a drop to 3% in 2024 (previously 2.5%). It's a bit of a wild ride, but they're aiming to hit their 2% target by mid-2025. ๐ฏ
So, that's the scoop on the Bank of Canada's recent dance with interest rates and inflation. Stay tuned for more financial twists and turns! ๐๐บ #BankOfCanada #Inflation #InterestRates #EconomicRide #FinanceUpdates ๐ฐ๐ธ
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