Dan Penner
Canada's Rate Cut Drama: What You Need to Know! 💸
1/22/2024
Hey mortgage mavens and rate-watchers! 👋 Today, we're diving into the buzz around the Bank of Canada and their latest rate cut predictions. 📉 Hold onto your wallets because things are getting interesting!
Why the Delay in Rate Cuts? 🤷♂️ Economists are buzzing about the possibility of a Bank of Canada rate cut, but it seems the majority are pumping the brakes. 🚗 Stubborn inflation has taken center stage, pushing the rate cut timeline to at least June. Markets were initially eyeing March or April, but December's unexpected rise in inflation put a dent in those early hopes.
What the Experts Say 🧐 A recent Reuters poll of 34 economists spilled the tea—two-thirds expect the first rate cut in June or later. Patient much? 🤨 BMO's Benjamin Reitzes thinks the Bank will be as chill as a polar bear on ice, waiting for inflation to play nice. On the flip side, the ING crew predicts a speedier relief, favoring rate cuts from April onwards. 🚀
Inflation Insights 📊 Let's talk inflation! RBC says, "Expect it to go lower." BMO admits progress but warns, "There's work to be done." Scotiabank is the rebel in the room, hinting at potential upside risks in Canada compared to the U.S. What's your take on this inflation rollercoaster? 🎢
Rate-Cut Expectations 🔍 Scotiabank notes that recent inflation trends are throwing shade at rate cut predictions for March and April. ING, however, thinks high interest rates are a bit too spicy and could lead to cuts starting in April. Time to place your bets! 🎲
The Bank's Rate Statement 🗣️ Desjardins believes the Bank will be caught between progress and stickiness. Dave Larock predicts a hawkish tone to counter rate cut expectations. National Bank is keeping an eye on economic signals and might retain a hiking bias. A real-life economic soap opera, isn't it? 🍿
Spring Housing Market Drama 🏡 Hold onto your hard hats! Scotiabank hints at a potential housing market rebound this spring if rates decline. Could we see a repeat of 2023's housing surge? 🏠📈 Fingers crossed or fingers on the pulse? You decide!
Big Bank Rate Forecasts 🏦 Curious about the big banks' crystal ball predictions? Here's a quick peek at their year-end targets and bond yield forecasts. Spoiler alert: It's a mixed bag of predictions! 📆💰
| Bank | Year-end '24 Target Rate | Year-end '25 Target Rate | 5-Year BoC Bond Yield: '24 | 5-Year BoC Bond Yield: '25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMO | 5.00% | 4.00% | NA | 3.20% (-45%) |
| CIBC | 5.00% | 3.50% | 2.50% | NA |
| NBC | 5.00% | 3.25% (-75bps) | 2.75% (-25bps) | 2.60% (-75bps) |
| RBC | 5.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 3.30% |
| Scotia | 5.00% | 4.00% | 3.25% | 3.50% |
| TD | 5.00% | 3.50% | 2.25% | 2.85% (-45bps) |
So, there you have it—your front-row seat to Canada's rate cut drama! 🍁 What's your take on these predictions? Are you Team June or Team April for the rate cut saga? Share your thoughts below and let the rate rollercoaster ride begin! 🎢📈 #VancouverMortgageBroker #NorthVancouverMortgageBroker #WestVancouverMortgageBroker #BurnabyMortgageBroker #CoquitlamMortgageBroker #PortMoodyMortgageBroker #NewWestminsterMortgageBroker #SurreyMortgageBroker #LangleyMortgageBroker #AbbotsfordMortgageBroker #MissionMortgageBroker #MapleRidgeMortgageBroker #PittMeadowsMortgageBroker #ChilliwackMortgageBroker #KelownaMortgageBroker #VernonMortgageBroker #VictoriaMortgageBroker #VancouverIslandMortgageBroker #BestMortgageRates #BestMortgageBroker 🏡✨
