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Dan Penner
"Strong Canadian Job Market Puts Pressure on Bank of Canada: What You Need to Know! 📈💼"
10/11/2023
Hey there, savvy readers! We've got some hot-off-the-press news to share with you today. According to a recent article in CMP magazine dated October 9, 2023, the Canadian job market is flexing some serious muscle. π¨π¦πͺ
So, what's the buzz all about? Well, it seems like the Bank of Canada (BoC) might have a lot to think about as they gear up for their next policy rate announcement. π¦π
In September, the Canadian economy welcomed a whopping 64,000 new jobs, way more than the experts had predicted (they were thinking around 20,000). ππ But that's not all; the unemployment rate stayed steady at 5.5%, and here's the kicker—hourly wages shot up by a dazzling 5.3% compared to the previous year! ππ°
Dawn Desjardins, the chief economist at Deloitte Canada, is totally on board with the idea that this robust labor market could seriously influence the BoC's next moves. She believes that if the economy continues to respond positively to these higher interest rates, the BoC might decide to keep those rates up. ππ¦
But there's another twist in the story. While stronger wage growth is undoubtedly good news for Canadians trying to keep up with the rising cost of living, it could throw a curveball to central banks trying to tame inflation in the long run. ππ€
Tiffany Wilding, the managing director and North American economist at PIMCO, notes that wages are "looking incredibly sticky." In plain terms, that means they're not budging easily. While the BoC might be close to wrapping up its rate hikes, there's still a chance we could see one more in October. π€·βοΈπΌ
Now, not everyone is convinced that the full impact of these rate hikes has hit the Canadian economy just yet. Earl Davis, the head of fixed income and money markets at BMO Global Asset Management, thinks it's all about timing. He believes there won't be any more hikes in 2024, primarily because they're keeping a close eye on employment numbers, not just economic growth. If unemployment starts to rise, that's when they might consider easing up on those rates. ππ€
So, there you have it, folks! A strong labor market can be a game-changer, and it's keeping the Bank of Canada on its toes. We'll be keeping our eyes peeled for updates as this story unfolds. Stay tuned! ππ°
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