AGENT LICENSE ID
M21000893
BROKERAGE LICENSE ID
11707
Melinda Baker
Mortgage Broker
Office:
Phone:
Address:
1370 Kilarney Beach Road Box 190, Lefroy, Ontario, L0L1W0
Welcome,
Take a look around and if you have any questions please reach out.
Text for an appointment 705-220-1608
Melinda
BLOG / NEWS Updates
CMHC: Canadian Home Sales Begin 2026 on Ice as Snow Buries Central Canada
The number of home sales recorded over Canadian MLS Systems fell 5.8% on a month-over-month basis in January 2026.
The monthly decline in national home sales was driven primarily by less activity in the Greater Golden Horseshoe and Southwestern Ontario, suggesting that the story was probably more about a historic winter storm than a downshift in demand, said Shaun Cathcart, CREAs Senior Economist. Notwithstanding the chilly start to the year, we continue to expect 2026 will ultimately be defined by pent-up demand from first-time buyers finally seeing a chance to enter the market.
January Highlights:
National home sales declined 5.8% month-over-month.
Actual (not seasonally adjusted) monthly activity came in 16.2% below January 2025.
The number of newly listed properties jumped 7.3% on a month-over-month basis.
The MLS Home Price Index (HPI) fell 0.9% month-over-month and was down 4.9% on a year-over-year basis.
The actual (not seasonally adjusted) national average sale price dipped 2.6% on a year-over-year basis in January 2026.
Similar to what happened in January 2025, new supply jumped on a month-over-month basis in January 2026, rising 7.3% as sellers seemed eager to get the year started.
The burst of new supply was driven by about two-thirds of local markets, and led by Montreal, Quebec City, Calgary, Greater Vancouver, and Victoria. Meanwhile, Central and Southwestern Ontario were far less prominent and, in many cases, recorded declines. This reinforces the view that winter weather was a primary factor in January in those regions, as it appears to have suppressed both demand and supply.
https://www.crea.ca/media-hub/news/home-sales-in-canada-end-2025-quietly-2/
CMHC: Housing Market Outlook 2026
Canadas economy is expected to grow slowly in 2026, as the following factors weigh on demand: geopolitical and trade uncertainty, significantly lower population growth, soft labour markets and modest income growth. Growth is projected to improve slowly in 2027 and 2028.
Housing demand is projected to gain momentum while sales stay below historical averages and prices show only modest gains after falling in 2025.
New home construction is set to decline through 2028 as developers face high costs, weaker demand and more unsold homes. Condominium starts will be especially weak. Rental projects will continue to drive new supply but will moderate over the forecast period.
Rental markets are moving toward balance from an overall national perspective as new supply eases pressure and rent growth slows, giving renters more flexibility before buying a home.
Regional housing markets vary significantly. Construction and home sales in Ontario and British Columbia will be weaker than their 10-year averages while, in the Prairies and Quebec, they will remain above their historical averages. Ontario is the only region expected to see price declines in 2026.
https://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/professionals/housing-markets-data-and-research/market-reports/housing-market/housing-market-outlook
CMHC: Mortgage renewal wave strains some regions and borrowers
Mortgages remain a hot topic in corporate boardrooms, around policy tables and even during family dinners. Canada is standing right in the middle of the major mortgage renewal waveone that experts have long warned about. In the midst of this mortgage renewal wave, are Canadian homeowners able to keep up with their mortgage payments at higher rates during a time of economic uncertainty and rising unemployment?
The national mortgage arrears ratethe share of mortgage consumers who have missed payments for 90 days or morehas been increasing. However, this trend is nuanced, and its interpretation has led to some confusion. The fact is that Canadian homeowners are facing 2 distinct financial realities. On one side, are emerging risks, while on the other, mortgage arrears remain low.
On one hand, there are clear signs of household financial strain in regions like Toronto and Vancouver, where arrears are projected to continue increasing steadily. Additionally, certain groups of borrowers across the country are showing greater vulnerability than others. For these groupsespecially the pandemic-era first-time homebuyersthe financial pressure is much more evident.
On the other hand, Canadian homeowners have proven to be remarkably resilient given the challenges theyve had to navigate. While the increase in mortgage arrears has been significant (+7 bps between 2023 Q3 and 2025 Q3), arrears remain historically low.
https://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/observer/2026/mortgage-renewal-wave-strains-some-regions-borrowers
